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Published fact-check

Dutch Intel Says Russia Lost 1.2M Troops in Ukraine

Supported

Claim checked

“Dutch intelligence has said Russia has lost over 1.2 million solders in Ukraine, with Ukraine losing over 500,000.”

Published

Verdict

Supported

Dutch military intelligence reports about 1.2 million Russian permanent casualties, including more than 500,000 deaths, and roughly 500,000 Ukrainian permanent casualties since Russia's 2022 invasion.

Reasoning

The claim accurately reflects the findings of the Dutch Military Intelligence and Security Service (MIVD) annual report published in April 2026. Reports from Defense News and LIGA.net confirm that the MIVD provided these specific casualty estimates. The intelligence service noted that despite these massive losses, Russia is actively expanding its armed forces and could be ready for a regional conflict with NATO within a year after hostilities in Ukraine end.

Source quality: The evidence includes detailed reporting from Defense News on the specific MIVD annual report, providing the exact figures mentioned in the claim.

Key checks

  • Russian Casualty Figures: The MIVD report specifies that Russia has suffered about 1.2 million permanent casualties, which includes over 500,000 deaths since 2022.

  • Ukrainian Casualty Figures: The report estimates Ukrainian permanent casualties at approximately half a million (500,000).

  • Source of Intelligence: The data originates from the MIVD (Dutch Military Intelligence and Security Service) annual report released on April 21, 2026.

Confidence

High

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